Geopolitical Risk, Quantified
Map your exposure to wars, sanctions, and tariffs onto prediction market probabilities. Get hedging recommendations in minutes.
Geopolitical Risk Index
Strait of Hormuz
7.3%
Taiwan Conflict
4.1%
US-China Tariffs
34%
Red Sea Disruption
15.8%
Panama Canal
3.8%
EU Carbon Border
12.2%
Built on data from
The $4.2 Trillion Blind Spot
Geopolitical events moved $4.2 trillion in market value last year. Most enterprises had no hedging in place.
What companies hedge today
- Oil & commodity futures
- Currency exchange rates
- Interest rate swaps
- Credit default risk
What they don't hedge
- Strait of Hormuz closure
- Taiwan semiconductor disruption
- Trade war escalation
- Suez/Panama canal blockades
- Sanctions cascades
These events can wipe out 10–30% of annual revenue overnight.
market value moved by geopolitical events in 2024
of Fortune 500 have no systematic geopolitical hedge
more frequent than a decade ago
from ticker to full risk profile
Map. Track. Hedge.
Map Your Exposure
Enter a ticker or upload financials. We build your geopolitical exposure graph in under two minutes.
Track Probabilities
Real-time prediction market data from Kalshi and Polymarket, matched to your exposure. Updated every 5 minutes.
Hedge
Specific contracts, position sizes, and cost-benefit analysis — reviewed by our advisory team.
One Dashboard, Full Visibility
Monitor, quantify, and hedge geopolitical exposure in real time.
Total Exposure
$284M
-$70M base case
Events Tracked
24
3 above threshold
Hedge Coverage
73%
+12% this month
Tail Risk (95th)
-$280M
across 4 factors
Portfolio Exposure Over Time
Top Events
Real-time probability tracking from CFTC-regulated markets
Your exposure quantified in dollars — base case and tail risk
One-click hedge recommendations with cost-benefit analysis
Built for the People Who Own the Risk
Whether you're quantifying exposure for the board, optimizing treasury operations, or building enterprise risk frameworks.
Chief Financial Officer
“How much are we exposed?”
See portfolio-level geopolitical exposure in dollars. Present board-ready risk reports with probability-weighted scenarios. Know exactly what’s hedged and what isn’t.
Treasurer
“What should we hedge and at what cost?”
Get specific hedging recommendations with cost-benefit analysis. Compare prediction market contracts to traditional instruments. Execute with confidence.
Head of Risk
“Where are our blind spots?”
Map your entire supply chain to geopolitical events. Get alerts when probabilities cross your thresholds. Replace quarterly risk reports with real-time monitoring.